Prospects and Policy Challenges

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Preface

Chapter I.
602k pdf file Prospects and Policy Challenges

How Hard a Landing in the United States?

Will Japan's Fragile Recovery Continue?

Can Domestic Demand Sustain European Growth?

How Will the Global Slowdown Affect Asia?

How Will the Global Slowdown Affect Latin America?

Can Africa Achieve Sustained Higher Growth?

The Middle East: Managing Terms of Trade Volatility Rebalancing the Policy Mix in Europe's Emerging Markets

Commonwealth of Independent States: Oil Prices Are Key

Appendix I: The Global Slowdown and Commodity Prices

Appendix II: Reducing External Imbalances


Boxes
1.1 How Well Do Forecasters Predict Turning Points?
1.2 Sustainability of the U.S. External Current Account
1.3 Japan's Recent Monetary and Structural Policy Initiatives
1.4 The Enhanced HIPC Initiative in Africa

1.5 Large Current Account Deficits in Transition Countries Seeking Membership in the European Union

Tables
1.1 Overview of the World Economic Outlook Projections
1.2 Selected Economies: Current Account Positions
1.3 Major Advanced Economies: General Government Fiscal Balances and Debt
1.4 Advanced Economies: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, and Unemployment
1.5 Selected Asian Countries: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, and Current Account Balance
1.6 Selected Western Hemisphere Countries: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, and Current Account Balance
1.7 Emerging Market Economies: Net Capital Flows
1.8 Selected African Countries: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, and Current Account Balance
1.9 Selected Middle Eastern Countries: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, and Current Account Balance
1.10 European Union Accession Candidates: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, and Current Account Balance
1.11 Commonwealth of Independent States: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, and Current Account Balance
1.12 Alternative Scenario: Soft Landing with Imbalance Adjustment
1.13 Alternative Scenario: Harder Landing

Figures
1.1 Global Indicators
1.2 Selected European Union Countries, Japan, and United States: Indicators of Consumer and Business Confidence
1.3 Financial Market Developments
1.4 External Vulnerabilities in Developing Countries
1.5 United States: Sharp Slowdown and Persistent Imbalances
1.6 Japan: Recovery Faltering
1.7 Euro Area: Growth Moderating, but Still Reasonably Robust
1.8 Selected Asian Countries: The Impact of Weakening External Demand
1.9 Western Hemisphere: Exposure to External Shocks
1.10 Sub-Saharan Africa: Why Has the Recent Expansion Slowed?
1.11 Middle East: Responding to Oil Price Volatility
1.12 Selected European Countries: Domestic Demand Growth and General Government Balances
1.13 Russia: Recovery Driven by Exchange Rate Depreciation and Oil Prices
1.14 Primary Commodity Prices and Selected Economic Indicators
1.15 West Texas Oil: Spot Price and Futures Contacts
1.16 Computer Chip Prices
1.17 Global Imbalances Adjustment Scenarios